Showing posts with label aging. Show all posts
Showing posts with label aging. Show all posts

Friday, July 4, 2014

Under the bright lights of an aging sun

Venus can be seen as a black dot eclipsing the Sun in this image from 2012. 

Venus orbits too close to the Sun to the planet to be habitable for life as we know it. 

Venus experiences a runaway greenhouse and the average surface temperatures are thought to be around 864ºF. 

Credit: NASA/SDO & the AIA, EVE, and HMI teams; Digital Composition: Peter L. Dove

Life as we know it on Earth is linked to our star, the Sun, which provides our planet with just the right amount of heat and energy for liquid water to be stable in our lakes, rivers and oceans.

However, as the Sun ages, it is steadily growing brighter and brighter. Eventually, the sunlight that supports life will become too great, and it will bring an end to habitability on our planet.

A Star is Born and Ages
The Sun formed some 4.5 billion years ago when gravitational attraction caused a massive cloud of gas and dust to collapse.

Currently the Sun is stable and has been for billions of years. The bright ball of light in our sky goes about its days generating energy by fusing hydrogen atoms in its core.

As the Sun ages it will enter another stage of stellar evolution where it's atmosphere begins to inflate. This is when the Sun will expand into a red giant star, swallowing planets in the inner Solar System, possibly including the Earth.

As time goes on, the Sun will start shedding its atmosphere and will continue to grow into a massive planetary nebula, which is like a large cloud of gas ejected from the old star.

This is a sort of recycling stage, where elements created by the star are sent back to the interstellar medium, thereby providing new materials for more stars to form.

Next, the old core of the Sun will cool and collapse into a dense but small hunk of mass known as a white dwarf star.

Eventually, it will cool to the point where only a cold, dark husk remains.
Life as we know it is intrinsically tied to the life-cycle of the Sun because we rely on its light for energy. Right now, things are perfect for biology. In the future, this will change dramatically.

As the Sun heats up and expands, life on Earth will become increasingly difficult. Long before the Sun becomes a red giant some 4 or 5 billion years from now, our planet will be rendered uninhabitable.

Dying in a Future Solar System
The fate of the Earth as the Sun grows old is not an old topic. For decades, scientists have studied various scenarios for how an ageing Sun will affect Earth's future habitability. Writers and artists, on the other hand, have explored the idea for centuries.

However, humankind will be gone long before a red giant star fills our skies.

Rather than leading us to a rocky ball of ice, an ageing Sun will instead blast the Earth with ever-increasing heat. Before the Sun expands to a red giant, this increased heat will cause dramatic climatic change on our planet.

The Atmosphere in 3-D
Previous models have predicted that an increase of just 6 percent in the solar constant (a measure of incoming solar electromagnetic radiation) would cause a runaway greenhouse effect on Earth that would render the planet uninhabitable as the oceans boil away to space.

Based on this number, Earth's habitability could come to an end in around 650 million years from now. However, a more recent study has extended the expected lifetime of Earth as a habitable world.

Discover the lifecycle of stars with this activity and handout. 

Many people think the different stages in the life of a star are actually different types of stars, rather than just stages in the life of a single star. 

Credit: NASA/JPL, Astronomical Society of the Pacific

New research shows that the accuracy of previous studies, which were based on 'one-dimensional' models of Earth's climate, could be improved.

"One-dimensional models treat the atmosphere as a single vertical column. This single column is meant as a representative average of all points on the Earth," explains Eric Wolf of the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at the University of Colorado Boulder.

"While one-dimensional models can treat radiative transfer well (i.e. solar energy and the greenhouse effect), they completely ignore many important aspects such as clouds, dynamics, and the pole to equator gradients of energy which ultimately describe our climate."

Wolf and his colleague Brian Toon, also of UC Boulder, used complex, three-dimensional climate models in order to bring more detail into the picture.

"Three-dimensional models, as we refer to them, are general circulation models of climate. They include a fully, spatially-resolved, rotating planet, with clouds, oceans, sea-ice, weather, etc.," Wolf told Astrobiology Magazine.

"The three-dimensional general circulation model I used has also been used for problems of modern climate. General circulation models are considered the most advanced type of climate models."

The added detail of the 3-D models showed that the Earth could remain habitable for longer than previously expected.

"According to my work, the Earth may remain 'habitable' for at least another 1.5 billion years, when the Sun is approximately 15.5 percent brighter than today," said Wolf. "This is the limit of our current study."

It's important to note that a habitable Earth in terms of astrobiology is not necessarily habitable for human beings.

Read the full article here

Monday, December 19, 2011

Brain function - A new way to measure the burden of aging

Cognitive function may be a better indicator of the impact of aging on an economy than age-distribution, with chronological age imposing less of a social and economic burden if the population is "functionally" younger, according to a study published today in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

The study finds that one standardized indicator of cognitive ability - - is better in countries where education, nutrition, and health standards are generally higher.

Aging populations are of concern to many countries as it is often assumed that aging necessarily implies a greater cost to society in terms of aged care, age related disease, and reduced capacity to contribute to society.

However this research suggests that the effects of chronological aging are uneven across nations and that in some countries, particularly more affluent ones that are able to invest in early and sustained education and health programs, cognitive function and thus the ability to live healthy, productive lives, is maintained longer.

"Demographic indicators of the economic impact of an typically rely on measures based on populations' age-distribution, expressed as the Old Age Dependency Ratio (OADR).

Whilst this is helpful measurement it does not include information on individual characteristics, other than age," says lead author Vegard Skirbekk from the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).

"We believe cognitive function can provide a new and comparable measure of how a region or a nation's population may age. Such information can inform early intervention in the education and health systems to try and improve , ultimately reducing the burden of aging."

"For example, in or the United States where there is a relatively large population over the age of 65, we found that cognitive function is higher for this age group than for the same age group in Mexico, India and China. Overall, even though Europe and the US may be chronologically older they are 'functionally' younger."

Cognitive ability levels are also good indicators of individual productivity and this has direct relevance to the economic and business activities within a country.

The authors suggest that the difference in cognitive function may be explained by the fact that seniors in some regions of the world experience better conditions during their childhood and adult life; including nutrition, duration and quality of schooling, exposure to disease, and physical and social activity.

Monday, January 4, 2010

More than 12 pct of China's population over 60: state media

More than 12 pct of China's population over 60: state media

More than 12 out of every 100 people in China are now over the age of 60, putting increasing pressure on the care system for the elderly, which is already not satisfying demand, state media reported.

The number of people above 60 reached 160 million at the end of last year, the Xinhua news agency said late Wednesday, citing Wang Suying, a senior official at the civil affairs ministry.

That is 12.3 percent of the country's total population of 1.3 billion.

Wang said China was facing a "grave trend" of an ageing population while the nation's care services for the elderly were "severely insufficient" and "far from meeting demand", according to Xinhua.

The country currently has only 2.5 million beds in rest homes, while an estimated eight million elderly were seeking accommodation in such facilities, the report said.

About 10 million nurses and specialists are needed to look after those who cannot take care of themselves, while care facilities for the aged had only 220,000 employees, 90 percent of whom were under-qualified, it said.

Ageing is a long-term trend affecting more and more of the world but China faces the unusual situation of growing old before it grows rich, officials have said.

The problem has become even more complicated as better nutrition and improved health care have helped people live longer lives, while birth control and changing cultural norms result in fewer young people.